YEARLY HIGH
148.9585 NGN
YEARLY LOW
135.7681 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
145.4810 NGN

2018 GEL to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 9, valuing the pair at 148.9585. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 135.7681.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.1904 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 140.8239 to the December average rate of 136.7209, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 148.9585 was down 3.69% compared to the 2017 peak of 154.6604, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 744,793 NGN
2017 Average 668,692 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 678,841 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 65,951.86 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

149.5851
135.5514
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 145.9570, compared to 145.0050 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9520 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 145.9570
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 145.0050

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 12.9069 NGN (High: 148.9585 / Low: 136.0516). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0374 NGN (High: 148.7542 / Low: 147.7168).

November Spread (Volatile) ±12.9069
October Spread (Stable) ±1.0374

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 7.1293 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -7.1293

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 143.8502) against the same month in 2017 (average: 139.4211), the exchange rate shifted by +4.4292 (+3.18%).

2018 Avg (November) 143.8502
2017 Avg (November) 139.4211

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 146.0261 138.3356 140.8239
February 147.7861 145.2309 146.5683
March 147.9091 146.2706 147.1948
April 148.7369 145.8125 147.5993
May 148.0373 145.3695 146.7765
June 147.5347 146.2599 146.7795
July 147.8280 146.7551 147.3425
August 147.5597 145.4134 146.2977
September 148.7297 144.7947 147.4031
October 148.7542 147.7168 148.4156
November 148.9585 136.0516 143.8502
December 137.6411 135.7681 136.7209