YEARLY HIGH
137.3014 NGN
YEARLY LOW
104.0577 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
128.0995 NGN

2019 GEL to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 18, valuing the pair at 137.3014. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 26, dropping to 104.0577.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 33.2436 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 136.4630 to the December average rate of 125.4229, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 137.3014 was down 7.83% compared to the 2018 peak of 148.9585, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 686,507 NGN
2018 Average 727,310 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 520,289 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 166,218.13 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

137.9023
120.6307
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 132.8458, compared to 123.3532 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 9.4926 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 132.8458
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 123.3532

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 21.0131 NGN (High: 132.5368 / Low: 111.5236). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.2859 NGN (High: 122.6023 / Low: 121.3164).

June Spread (Volatile) ±21.0131
November Spread (Stable) ±1.2859

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 5.4893 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -5.4893

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 136.2809) against the same month in 2018 (average: 146.5683), the exchange rate shifted by -10.2873 (-7.02%).

2019 Avg (February) 136.2809
2018 Avg (February) 146.5683

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 137.1022 135.4775 136.4630
February 137.3014 134.5057 136.2809
March 135.9887 133.4572 134.2883
April 134.2644 132.5847 133.6250
May 133.7021 128.3422 130.9534
June 132.5368 111.5236 125.4641
July 128.8014 121.5972 125.7985
August 124.7276 104.0577 122.5983
September 123.4694 121.2571 122.1351
October 123.0900 121.2137 122.0944
November 122.6023 121.3164 122.0700
December 127.1722 121.9984 125.4229