YEARLY HIGH
152.7709 NGN
YEARLY LOW
79.6770 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
108.7754 NGN

2016 GEL to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 22, valuing the pair at 152.7709. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 79.6770.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 73.0940 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 81.7253 to the December average rate of 118.7544, the exchange rate registered a net change of 45.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 152.7709 was up 31.96% compared to the 2015 peak of 115.7709, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 763,855 NGN
2015 Average 453,880 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 398,385 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 365,469.91 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

145.0746
74.2403
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 87.8287, compared to 129.7221 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 41.8934 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 87.8287
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 129.7221

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 36.1985 NGN (High: 127.0282 / Low: 90.8297). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.2630 NGN (High: 80.9400 / Low: 79.6770).

June Spread (Volatile) ±36.1985
February Spread (Stable) ±1.2630

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 8.2247 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -8.2247

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 139.1718) against the same month in 2015 (average: 85.6598), the exchange rate shifted by +53.5119 (+62.47%).

2016 Avg (August) 139.1718
2015 Avg (August) 85.6598

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 83.0688 79.9606 81.7253
February 80.9400 79.6770 80.1432
March 87.0384 80.5485 83.8425
April 89.4147 86.5261 88.2305
May 93.0658 89.3226 91.2879
June 127.0282 90.8297 101.7426
July 136.0858 120.3389 124.9907
August 152.7709 135.2481 139.1718
September 137.1386 133.1409 135.5243
October 134.6060 131.3216 132.9121
November 130.1836 123.4193 126.9791
December 123.5651 113.0611 118.7544