YEARLY HIGH
115.7709 NGN
YEARLY LOW
81.0160 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
90.8935 NGN

2015 GEL to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the GEL to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 12, valuing the pair at 115.7709. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 21, dropping to 81.0160.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 34.7549 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 105.3605 to the December average rate of 83.1052, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 115.7709 was up 10.33% compared to the 2014 peak of 104.9342, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 578,854 NGN
2014 Average 469,010 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 405,080 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 173,774.41 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

115.2678
80.0358
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 97.4054, compared to 84.3816 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 13.0238 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 97.4054
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 84.3816

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was March, with a trading range of 25.6473 NGN (High: 114.7528 / Low: 89.1054). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6227 NGN (High: 83.3154 / Low: 82.6928).

March Spread (Volatile) ±25.6473
November Spread (Stable) ±0.6227

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 16.6781 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -16.6781

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2015: 112.3318) against the same month in 2014 (average: 93.4777), the exchange rate shifted by +18.8541 (+20.17%).

2015 Avg (February) 112.3318
2014 Avg (February) 93.4777

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 108.6054 101.9057 105.3605
February 115.7709 107.2614 112.3318
March 114.7528 89.1054 104.7571
April 88.8803 85.6871 88.0790
May 87.7164 84.1425 85.7971
June 88.8297 86.2963 88.1067
July 88.6512 87.4584 88.1854
August 87.5861 82.6398 85.6598
September 84.3700 81.0160 82.9932
October 84.0907 82.6047 83.3739
November 83.3154 82.6928 82.9718
December 83.7475 82.4822 83.1052