2016 GEL to RON Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8957 RON

YEARLY LOW

1.5473 RON

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7202 RON

2016 GEL to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 31, valuing the pair at 1.8957. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 1.5473.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3485 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7121 to the December average rate of 1.6166, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.8957 was down 20.97% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.3989, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,479 RON

2015 Average 9,193 RON

Yearly Trough Low 7,736 RON

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,742.28 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.8580

1.5947

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7399, compared to 1.7006 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0393 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7399

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7006

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.1634 RON (High: 1.8915 / Low: 1.7281). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0482 RON (High: 1.7431 / Low: 1.6949).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1634

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0482

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1049 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1049

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 1.8267) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.7167), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1100 (+6.41%).

2016 Avg (May) 1.8267

2015 Avg (May) 1.7167

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7381	1.6778	1.7121
February	1.6828	1.5931	1.6262
March	1.7375	1.6437	1.6900
April	1.7832	1.7056	1.7484
May	1.8957	1.7496	1.8267
June	1.8915	1.7281	1.8360
July	1.7550	1.6981	1.7311
August	1.7402	1.6909	1.7173
September	1.7431	1.6949	1.7184
October	1.7570	1.6932	1.7292
November	1.7201	1.6654	1.6909
December	1.6623	1.5473	1.6166