YEARLY HIGH
1.8252 RON
YEARLY LOW
1.6648 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.7439 RON

2023 GEL to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the GEL to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 18, valuing the pair at 1.8252. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 1.6648.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1603 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7138 to the December average rate of 1.6948, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.11% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1.8252 was down 0.88% compared to the 2022 peak of 1.8414, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,126 RON
2022 Average 8,080 RON
Yearly Trough Low 8,324 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 801.68 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1.8019
1.6851
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7607, compared to 1.7271 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0337 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7607
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7271

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was February, with a trading range of 0.0771 RON (High: 1.7720 / Low: 1.6949). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0235 RON (High: 1.7407 / Low: 1.7172).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0771
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0235

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0488 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0488

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2023: 1.7922) against the same month in 2022 (average: 1.5759), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2162 (+13.72%).

2023 Avg (May) 1.7922
2022 Avg (May) 1.5759

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.7418 1.6924 1.7138
February 1.7720 1.6949 1.7359
March 1.8047 1.7535 1.7839
April 1.8015 1.7684 1.7864
May 1.8252 1.7541 1.7922
June 1.7785 1.7182 1.7522
July 1.7537 1.7071 1.7279
August 1.7407 1.7172 1.7317
September 1.7784 1.7333 1.7578
October 1.7766 1.7283 1.7494
November 1.7289 1.6733 1.7006
December 1.7320 1.6648 1.6948