YEARLY HIGH
1.5900 RON
YEARLY LOW
1.2031 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3680 RON

2020 GEL to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the GEL to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 25, valuing the pair at 1.5900. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 1.2031.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3869 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4955 to the December average rate of 1.2147, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1.5900 was down 0.45% compared to the 2019 peak of 1.5972, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,950 RON
2019 Average 7,536 RON
Yearly Trough Low 6,016 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,934.57 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1.5736
1.1821
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4471, compared to 1.2889 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1582 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4471
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2889

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.2954 RON (High: 1.5713 / Low: 1.2759). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0198 RON (High: 1.5056 / Low: 1.4857).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2954
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0198

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0846 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0846

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2020: 1.5410) against the same month in 2019 (average: 1.5778), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0368 (-2.34%).

2020 Avg (February) 1.5410
2019 Avg (February) 1.5778

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5056 1.4857 1.4955
February 1.5900 1.4906 1.5410
March 1.5713 1.2759 1.4564
April 1.4201 1.3417 1.3983
May 1.3961 1.3685 1.3836
June 1.4526 1.3473 1.4076
July 1.4085 1.3152 1.3744
August 1.3352 1.3103 1.3226
September 1.3380 1.2381 1.2982
October 1.2948 1.2672 1.2843
November 1.2893 1.2038 1.2393
December 1.2265 1.2031 1.2147