YEARLY HIGH
1.4257 RON
YEARLY LOW
1.1753 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.2960 RON

2021 GEL to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the GEL to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 26, valuing the pair at 1.4257. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 28, dropping to 1.1753.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2505 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2119 to the December average rate of 1.4136, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.65% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.4257 was down 10.33% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.5900, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,129 RON
2020 Average 6,837 RON
Yearly Trough Low 5,876 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,252.33 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.4352
1.1768
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2262, compared to 1.3658 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1395 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2262
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3658

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was June, with a trading range of 0.0821 RON (High: 1.3172 / Low: 1.2351). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0183 RON (High: 1.3594 / Low: 1.3411).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0821
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0183

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0331 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0331

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 1.4136) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.2147), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1989 (+16.38%).

2021 Avg (December) 1.4136
2020 Avg (December) 1.2147

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.2232 1.1927 1.2119
February 1.2289 1.2048 1.2163
March 1.2412 1.2134 1.2314
April 1.2211 1.1753 1.1983
May 1.2390 1.1757 1.2021
June 1.3172 1.2351 1.2975
July 1.3574 1.3141 1.3342
August 1.3594 1.3411 1.3490
September 1.3749 1.3402 1.3523
October 1.3716 1.3447 1.3617
November 1.4206 1.3480 1.3838
December 1.4257 1.3993 1.4136