YEARLY HIGH
1.7903 RON
YEARLY LOW
1.4368 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6229 RON

2017 GEL to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the GEL to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 17, valuing the pair at 1.7903. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 2, dropping to 1.4368.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3535 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5708 to the December average rate of 1.4930, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 1.7903 was down 5.56% compared to the 2016 peak of 1.8957, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,952 RON
2016 Average 8,602 RON
Yearly Trough Low 7,184 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,767.64 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

1.7796
1.4670
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6746, compared to 1.5711 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1034 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6746
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5711

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was November, with a trading range of 0.1551 RON (High: 1.5941 / Low: 1.4390). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0294 RON (High: 1.5811 / Low: 1.5517).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1551
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0294

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0552 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0552

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2017: 1.7535) against the same month in 2016 (average: 1.7484), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0051 (+0.29%).

2017 Avg (April) 1.7535
2016 Avg (April) 1.7484

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6386 1.5443 1.5708
February 1.6745 1.5592 1.6110
March 1.7569 1.6973 1.7248
April 1.7903 1.6821 1.7535
May 1.7200 1.6792 1.6983
June 1.7170 1.6595 1.6891
July 1.6868 1.6096 1.6524
August 1.6384 1.5869 1.6165
September 1.5899 1.5491 1.5652
October 1.5811 1.5517 1.5698
November 1.5941 1.4390 1.5299
December 1.5477 1.4368 1.4930