YEARLY HIGH
9.0157 SCR
YEARLY LOW
7.4598 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.2281 SCR

2012 GEL to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GEL to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 1, valuing the pair at 9.0157. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 8, dropping to 7.4598.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5559 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.3158 to the December average rate of 7.8889, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.13% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 9.0157 was up 7.92% compared to the 2011 peak of 8.3539, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 45,078 SCR
2011 Average 36,970 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 37,299 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,779.69 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

8.9745
7.3970
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.5720, compared to 7.8842 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6877 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.5720
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.8842

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was August, with a trading range of 0.6241 SCR (High: 8.1546 / Low: 7.5304). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0831 SCR (High: 7.9321 / Low: 7.8490).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.6241
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0831

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.7907 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7907

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 8.8431) against the same month in 2011 (average: 7.4176), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4255 (+19.22%).

2012 Avg (June) 8.8431
2011 Avg (June) 7.4176

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.5105 7.9788 8.3158
February 8.7202 8.2814 8.4511
March 8.7063 8.2187 8.5431
April 8.8124 8.4616 8.5782
May 8.9873 8.5388 8.7006
June 9.0157 8.6196 8.8431
July 8.7013 8.1171 8.4767
August 8.1546 7.5304 7.6860
September 7.5676 7.4598 7.5284
October 7.9566 7.5337 7.8234
November 7.9499 7.8463 7.9018
December 7.9321 7.8490 7.8889