YEARLY HIGH
8.0312 SCR
YEARLY LOW
5.0872 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.1426 SCR

2015 GEL to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the GEL to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 8.0312. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 4, dropping to 5.0872.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.9440 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.8849 to the December average rate of 5.3387, the exchange rate registered a net change of -32.29% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 8.0312 was down 0.91% compared to the 2014 peak of 8.1054, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 40,156 SCR
2014 Average 36,135 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 25,436 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,719.98 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

8.2011
5.0785
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.7799, compared to 5.5052 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.2747 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.7799
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.5052

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was March, with a trading range of 1.8945 SCR (High: 7.9551 / Low: 6.0606). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2042 SCR (High: 5.9732 / Low: 5.7690).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.8945
June Spread (Stable) ±0.2042

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2015. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.1923 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1923

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 7.8849) against the same month in 2014 (average: 6.8470), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0379 (+15.16%).

2015 Avg (January) 7.8849
2014 Avg (January) 6.8470

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.0312 7.4680 7.8849
February 8.0222 7.7719 7.9409
March 7.9551 6.0606 7.1977
April 6.1334 5.8445 6.0054
May 5.9214 5.5933 5.7878
June 5.9732 5.7690 5.8629
July 5.9440 5.6918 5.8137
August 5.8014 5.4176 5.6331
September 5.6452 5.2905 5.4393
October 5.6465 5.3001 5.4541
November 5.5621 5.2079 5.3522
December 5.5641 5.0872 5.3387