YEARLY HIGH
5.2082 SCR
YEARLY LOW
4.2419 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.8666 SCR

2019 GEL to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 14, valuing the pair at 5.2082. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 11, dropping to 4.2419.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9663 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.1259 to the December average rate of 4.7386, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 5.2082 was down 11.20% compared to the 2018 peak of 5.8654, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,041 SCR
2018 Average 27,412 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 21,210 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,831.34 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

5.2109
4.5598
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0633, compared to 4.6700 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3933 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0633
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.6700

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.5190 SCR (High: 4.7610 / Low: 4.2419). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0602 SCR (High: 4.6568 / Low: 4.5966).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.5190
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0602

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1633 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1633

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 5.1566) against the same month in 2018 (average: 5.5357), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3791 (-6.85%).

2019 Avg (February) 5.1566
2018 Avg (February) 5.5357

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.1493 5.0875 5.1259
February 5.2082 5.0781 5.1566
March 5.1921 5.0681 5.1063
April 5.1341 5.0566 5.0836
May 5.0609 4.8763 4.9716
June 5.0313 4.7757 4.9356
July 4.8946 4.6078 4.7723
August 4.7610 4.2419 4.6399
September 4.6568 4.5966 4.6270
October 4.6657 4.5886 4.6278
November 4.7636 4.3695 4.6141
December 4.8000 4.6126 4.7386