YEARLY HIGH
8.1054 SCR
YEARLY LOW
6.7490 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.2256 SCR

2014 GEL to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the GEL to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 6, valuing the pair at 8.1054. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 28, dropping to 6.7490.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3563 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.8470 to the December average rate of 7.8493, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 8.1054 was up 2.19% compared to the 2013 peak of 7.9314, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 40,527 SCR
2013 Average 36,294 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 33,745 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,781.67 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

8.1155
6.7317
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.9058, compared to 7.5454 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6396 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.9058
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.5454

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 0.6008 SCR (High: 8.0763 / Low: 7.4755). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1106 SCR (High: 7.5152 / Low: 7.4046).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.6008
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1106

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1508 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1508

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 8.0001) against the same month in 2013 (average: 7.1815), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8186 (+11.40%).

2014 Avg (November) 8.0001
2013 Avg (November) 7.1815

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.9048 6.7913 6.8470
February 6.9899 6.8276 6.9220
March 7.0012 6.8364 6.9364
April 6.9806 6.7490 6.8681
May 7.1191 6.7791 6.9191
June 6.9935 6.8524 6.9419
July 7.0823 6.9445 6.9896
August 7.4383 7.0563 7.2149
September 7.5152 7.4046 7.4636
October 8.0763 7.4755 7.7546
November 8.1054 7.8452 8.0001
December 8.0598 7.5437 7.8493