YEARLY HIGH
5.8654 SCR
YEARLY LOW
5.0915 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.4830 SCR

2018 GEL to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 27, valuing the pair at 5.8654. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 5.0915.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7739 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.4400 to the December average rate of 5.1362, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.8654 was up 1.63% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.7714, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,327 SCR
2017 Average 27,220 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 25,457 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,869.54 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.6205
5.0921
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5137, compared to 5.4523 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0613 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5137
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.4523

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.4711 SCR (High: 5.5868 / Low: 5.1158). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0244 SCR (High: 5.5499 / Low: 5.5255).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.4711
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0244

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2668 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2668

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 5.5576) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.5274), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0302 (+0.55%).

2018 Avg (September) 5.5576
2017 Avg (September) 5.5274

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.6162 5.2953 5.4400
February 5.6845 5.3884 5.5357
March 5.7562 5.4745 5.5764
April 5.6697 5.4540 5.5268
May 5.7530 5.4257 5.4983
June 5.5263 5.4502 5.5045
July 5.5499 5.5255 5.5347
August 5.5541 5.4734 5.5074
September 5.8654 5.4720 5.5576
October 5.6749 5.5412 5.5752
November 5.5868 5.1158 5.4030
December 5.2309 5.0915 5.1362