2012 GNF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3846 UGX

YEARLY LOW

0.3323 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3554 UGX

2012 GNF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GNF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 0.3846. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 11, dropping to 0.3323.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0523 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3468 to the December average rate of 0.3785, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.17% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.3846 was down 12.54% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.4397, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GNF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,923 UGX

2011 Average 1,832 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,661 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 261.56 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.3826

0.3339

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GNF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3504, compared to 0.3605 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0101 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3504

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3605

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 0.0236 UGX (High: 0.3559 / Low: 0.3323). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0081 UGX (High: 0.3512 / Low: 0.3431).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0236

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0081

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0088 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0088

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 0.3785) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.3539), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0247 (+6.97%).

2012 Avg (December) 0.3785

2011 Avg (December) 0.3539

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3564	0.3343	0.3468
February	0.3559	0.3323	0.3380
March	0.3625	0.3459	0.3522
April	0.3628	0.3506	0.3571
May	0.3730	0.3513	0.3554
June	0.3585	0.3443	0.3529
July	0.3512	0.3431	0.3472
August	0.3541	0.3449	0.3486
September	0.3633	0.3490	0.3553
October	0.3702	0.3591	0.3641
November	0.3809	0.3613	0.3692
December	0.3846	0.3726	0.3785