2014 GNF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3945 UGX

YEARLY LOW

0.3467 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3705 UGX

2014 GNF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the GNF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 0.3945. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 6, dropping to 0.3467.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0478 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3580 to the December average rate of 0.3921, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.51% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.3945 was up 2.53% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.3848, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GNF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,973 UGX

2013 Average 1,842 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,734 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 239.08 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.3961

0.3481

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GNF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3607, compared to 0.3802 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0195 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3607

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3802

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was March, with a trading range of 0.0181 UGX (High: 0.3716 / Low: 0.3535). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0056 UGX (High: 0.3945 / Low: 0.3889).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0181

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0056

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0059 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0059

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 0.3921) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.3605), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0316 (+8.76%).

2014 Avg (December) 0.3921

2013 Avg (December) 0.3605

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3637	0.3523	0.3580
February	0.3628	0.3467	0.3521
March	0.3716	0.3535	0.3613
April	0.3678	0.3572	0.3617
May	0.3671	0.3580	0.3619
June	0.3788	0.3646	0.3693
July	0.3800	0.3705	0.3745
August	0.3774	0.3697	0.3734
September	0.3766	0.3698	0.3736
October	0.3861	0.3750	0.3798
November	0.3944	0.3812	0.3878
December	0.3945	0.3889	0.3921