YEARLY HIGH
0.3848 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.3569 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3684 UGX

2013 GNF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the GNF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.3848. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 0.3569.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0279 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3776 to the December average rate of 0.3605, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.3848 was up 0.05% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.3846, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GNF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,924 UGX
2012 Average 1,777 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,784 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 139.41 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.3793
0.3588
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GNF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3706, compared to 0.3662 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0044 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3706
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3662

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.0145 UGX (High: 0.3774 / Low: 0.3629). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0058 UGX (High: 0.3751 / Low: 0.3693).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0145
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0058

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0064 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0064

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 0.3776) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.3468), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0309 (+8.90%).

2013 Avg (January) 0.3776
2012 Avg (January) 0.3468

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3848 0.3735 0.3776
February 0.3830 0.3698 0.3752
March 0.3774 0.3629 0.3703
April 0.3700 0.3586 0.3639
May 0.3698 0.3594 0.3658
June 0.3791 0.3671 0.3710
July 0.3751 0.3693 0.3723
August 0.3732 0.3670 0.3700
September 0.3760 0.3645 0.3701
October 0.3700 0.3576 0.3637
November 0.3676 0.3577 0.3610
December 0.3656 0.3569 0.3605