2015 GNF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5197 UGX

YEARLY LOW

0.3931 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4402 UGX

2015 GNF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the GNF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 18, valuing the pair at 0.5197. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 17, dropping to 0.3931.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1265 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4037 to the December average rate of 0.4352, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.5197 was up 31.72% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.3945, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GNF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,598 UGX

2014 Average 1,853 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,966 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 632.68 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.5126

0.3877

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GNF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4104, compared to 0.4700 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0596 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4104

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4700

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was November, with a trading range of 0.0579 UGX (High: 0.4875 / Low: 0.4296). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0105 UGX (High: 0.4036 / Low: 0.3931).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0579

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0105

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0552 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0552

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 0.4974) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.3798), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1175 (+30.94%).

2015 Avg (October) 0.4974

2014 Avg (October) 0.3798

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4117	0.3948	0.4037
February	0.4036	0.3931	0.3982
March	0.4148	0.3951	0.4067
April	0.4191	0.4061	0.4111
May	0.4160	0.4013	0.4098
June	0.4545	0.4125	0.4332
July	0.4850	0.4333	0.4571
August	0.5039	0.4713	0.4861
September	0.5077	0.4928	0.5022
October	0.5197	0.4795	0.4974
November	0.4875	0.4296	0.4422
December	0.4455	0.4280	0.4352