YEARLY HIGH
0.2999 CNY
YEARLY LOW
0.2648 CNY
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2766 CNY

2018 HNL to CNY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to CNY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 0.2999. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 18, dropping to 0.2648.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0351 CNY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2720 to the December average rate of 0.2841, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.47% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.2999 was down 1.23% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.3037, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,500 CNY
2017 Average 1,440 CNY
Yearly Trough Low 1,324 CNY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 175.66 CNY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.2895
0.2640
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to CNY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2686, compared to 0.2846 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0160 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2686
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2846

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0188 CNY (High: 0.2999 / Low: 0.2812). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0027 CNY (High: 0.2863 / Low: 0.2836).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0188
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0027

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0041 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0041

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.2841) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2789), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0052 (+1.88%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.2841
2017 Avg (December) 0.2789

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2763 0.2664 0.2720
February 0.2696 0.2658 0.2679
March 0.2691 0.2655 0.2676
April 0.2678 0.2648 0.2661
May 0.2692 0.2662 0.2680
June 0.2760 0.2663 0.2698
July 0.2845 0.2759 0.2801
August 0.2885 0.2837 0.2851
September 0.2863 0.2836 0.2850
October 0.2899 0.2847 0.2874
November 0.2891 0.2843 0.2858
December 0.2999 0.2812 0.2841