YEARLY HIGH
9.3994 DJF
YEARLY LOW
8.3564 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.7580 DJF

2014 HNL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the HNL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 1, valuing the pair at 9.3994. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 31, dropping to 8.3564.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0430 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.8758 to the December average rate of 8.4566, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 9.3994 was up 0.35% compared to the 2013 peak of 9.3662, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 46,997 DJF
2013 Average 44,209 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 41,782 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,215.10 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

9.4164
8.3156
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.0535, compared to 8.4624 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5910 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.0535
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.4624

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was May, with a trading range of 0.7859 DJF (High: 9.3994 / Low: 8.6135). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0854 DJF (High: 8.5792 / Low: 8.4938).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.7859
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0854

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.7325 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7325

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 9.3127) against the same month in 2013 (average: 9.1719), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1408 (+1.53%).

2014 Avg (May) 9.3127
2013 Avg (May) 9.1719

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.9649 8.7839 8.8758
February 9.1324 8.9227 9.0187
March 9.2921 9.0977 9.2089
April 9.3913 9.2266 9.3247
May 9.3994 8.6135 9.3127
June 8.6707 8.4957 8.5801
July 8.5792 8.4938 8.5293
August 8.5856 8.4396 8.5118
September 8.4975 8.3982 8.4621
October 8.4728 8.3564 8.4075
November 8.4535 8.3646 8.4073
December 8.4983 8.3965 8.4566