YEARLY HIGH
8.5129 DJF
YEARLY LOW
7.9604 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.1900 DJF

2015 HNL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the HNL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 8.5129. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 7.9604.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5525 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.4464 to the December average rate of 8.1188, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 8.5129 was down 9.43% compared to the 2014 peak of 9.3994, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,565 DJF
2014 Average 43,783 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 39,802 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,762.55 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

8.4825
8.0487
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.2714, compared to 8.1085 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1628 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.2714
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.1085

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was March, with a trading range of 0.3362 DJF (High: 8.5097 / Low: 8.1735). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0409 DJF (High: 8.1312 / Low: 8.0903).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.3362
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0409

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1546 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1546

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 8.4464) against the same month in 2014 (average: 8.8758), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4295 (-4.84%).

2015 Avg (January) 8.4464
2014 Avg (January) 8.8758

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.5129 8.3623 8.4464
February 8.5023 8.3770 8.4244
March 8.5097 8.1735 8.3107
April 8.3081 8.0724 8.2395
May 8.1229 8.0614 8.0848
June 8.1634 8.0939 8.1224
July 8.1530 8.1020 8.1302
August 8.1312 8.0903 8.1110
September 8.1559 8.0889 8.1171
October 8.1275 8.0438 8.0872
November 8.1113 8.0632 8.0870
December 8.1760 7.9604 8.1188