YEARLY HIGH
7.3734 DJF
YEARLY LOW
7.0362 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.1976 DJF

2020 HNL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the HNL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 25, valuing the pair at 7.3734. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 14, dropping to 7.0362.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3372 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.1827 to the December average rate of 7.3435, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.24% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 7.3734 was down 38.41% compared to the 2019 peak of 11.9712, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,867 DJF
2019 Average 36,268 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 35,181 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,686.24 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

7.3649
7.1080
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.1547, compared to 7.2406 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0859 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.1547
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.2406

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was January, with a trading range of 0.2095 DJF (High: 7.2456 / Low: 7.0362). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0449 DJF (High: 7.1726 / Low: 7.1277).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2095
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0449

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0168 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0168

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2020: 7.3435) against the same month in 2019 (average: 7.3563), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0128 (-0.17%).

2020 Avg (December) 7.3435
2019 Avg (December) 7.3563

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.2456 7.0362 7.1827
February 7.2292 7.1363 7.1732
March 7.2528 7.1183 7.1565
April 7.1965 7.1220 7.1462
May 7.1735 7.1115 7.1294
June 7.1726 7.1277 7.1402
July 7.1938 7.1363 7.1551
August 7.2217 7.1363 7.1998
September 7.2353 7.1774 7.2054
October 7.2663 7.2202 7.2441
November 7.3386 7.2433 7.2958
December 7.3734 7.3230 7.3435