YEARLY HIGH
7.7866 DJF
YEARLY LOW
7.2708 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.4383 DJF

2018 HNL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 7.7866. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 2, dropping to 7.2708.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5158 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.5629 to the December average rate of 7.3389, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 7.7866 was down 0.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 7.8394, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 38,933 DJF
2017 Average 38,091 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 36,354 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,578.82 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

7.5858
7.3108
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.4923, compared to 7.3844 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1079 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.4923
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.3844

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.5158 DJF (High: 7.7866 / Low: 7.2708). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0319 DJF (High: 7.4822 / Low: 7.4502).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.5158
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0319

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0594 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0594

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 7.3389) against the same month in 2017 (average: 7.5628), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2239 (-2.96%).

2018 Avg (December) 7.3389
2017 Avg (December) 7.5628

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.5948 7.5284 7.5629
February 7.5687 7.4814 7.5239
March 7.5029 7.4697 7.4935
April 7.4822 7.4502 7.4730
May 7.5272 7.4487 7.4726
June 7.4775 7.4011 7.4279
July 7.4616 7.4033 7.4209
August 7.4551 7.4033 7.4153
September 7.4337 7.3828 7.4042
October 7.4314 7.3782 7.3931
November 7.4177 7.2963 7.3337
December 7.7866 7.2708 7.3389