YEARLY HIGH
5.4063 JPY
YEARLY LOW
4.3774 JPY
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7796 JPY

2016 HNL to JPY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HNL to JPY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 5.4063. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 17, dropping to 4.3774.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0289 JPY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.2817 to the December average rate of 4.9753, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.4063 was down 6.31% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.7705, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,032 JPY
2015 Average 27,898 JPY
Yearly Trough Low 21,887 JPY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,144.43 JPY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.3666
4.3472
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to JPY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9465, compared to 4.6127 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3338 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9465
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.6127

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.4251 JPY (High: 4.9156 / Low: 4.4905). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1093 JPY (High: 5.0440 / Low: 4.9347).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.4251
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1093

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2041 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2041

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 5.2817) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.6213), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3397 (-6.04%).

2016 Avg (January) 5.2817
2015 Avg (January) 5.6213

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.4063 5.2099 5.2817
February 5.3844 4.9680 5.0776
March 5.0440 4.9347 4.9987
April 4.9503 4.7240 4.8578
May 4.8979 4.7096 4.8196
June 4.8554 4.4940 4.6437
July 4.6936 4.4237 4.5583
August 4.5102 4.3774 4.4321
September 4.5433 4.4055 4.4649
October 4.6125 4.4187 4.5360
November 4.9156 4.4905 4.7096
December 5.0410 4.8847 4.9753