YEARLY HIGH
4.9451 JPY
YEARLY LOW
4.4269 JPY
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.6171 JPY

2018 HNL to JPY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to JPY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 4.9451. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 24, dropping to 4.4269.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5182 JPY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.6962 to the December average rate of 4.6235, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.9451 was down 2.80% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.0874, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,726 JPY
2017 Average 23,893 JPY
Yearly Trough Low 22,135 JPY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,590.96 JPY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.7172
4.4651
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to JPY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5846, compared to 4.6497 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0651 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5846
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.6497

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.4509 JPY (High: 4.9451 / Low: 4.4942). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0527 JPY (High: 4.6209 / Low: 4.5682).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.4509
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0527

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1246 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1246

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 4.6235) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.7780), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1545 (-3.23%).

2018 Avg (December) 4.6235
2017 Avg (December) 4.7780

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.7938 4.5919 4.6962
February 4.6615 4.4903 4.5716
March 4.5259 4.4269 4.4861
April 4.6231 4.4711 4.5461
May 4.6629 4.5378 4.6134
June 4.6209 4.5682 4.5941
July 4.7053 4.5954 4.6451
August 4.6575 4.5738 4.6232
September 4.7240 4.6032 4.6583
October 4.7464 4.6411 4.6808
November 4.7123 4.6288 4.6673
December 4.9451 4.4942 4.6235