YEARLY HIGH
6.1411 JPY
YEARLY LOW
5.7603 JPY
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.9655 JPY

2026 HNL to JPY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the HNL to JPY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 30, valuing the pair at 6.1411. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 13, dropping to 5.7603.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3808 JPY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.9347 to the December average rate of 5.8828, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 6.1411 was down 1.27% compared to the 2025 peak of 6.2202, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,706 JPY
2025 Average 28,764 JPY
Yearly Trough Low 28,801 JPY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,904.19 JPY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

6.0885
5.8414
JanuMarcMayJuly

HNL to JPY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.9622, compared to 5.9754 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0131 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.9622
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.9754

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.2450 JPY (High: 6.0128 / Low: 5.7678). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0407 JPY (High: 5.8993 / Low: 5.8586).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2450
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0407

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1851 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1851

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2026: 6.0679) against the same month in 2025 (average: 5.5995), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4685 (+8.37%).

2026 Avg (July) 6.0679
2025 Avg (July) 5.5995

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.0128 5.7678 5.9347
February 5.9657 5.7603 5.8620
March 6.0568 5.9211 5.9904
April 6.0283 5.9596 5.9883
May 5.9975 5.8943 5.9782
June 6.0684 5.9901 6.0197
July 6.1411 5.9782 6.0679
August 5.8993 5.8586 5.8828