2016 HNL to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

27.9417 SOS

YEARLY LOW

23.8086 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

26.0842 SOS

2016 HNL to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HNL to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 27.9417. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 23.8086.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.1331 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 27.5935 to the December average rate of 24.5635, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 27.9417 was down 19.12% compared to the 2015 peak of 34.5473, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 139,709 SOS

2015 Average 155,478 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 119,043 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,665.46 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

27.8965

24.2605

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 26.9168, compared to 25.2516 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.6651 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 26.9168

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 25.2516

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 1.3895 SOS (High: 25.3518 / Low: 23.9623). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2986 SOS (High: 25.7293 / Low: 25.4307).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.3895

September Spread (Stable) ±0.2986

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.8403 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8403

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 27.5935) against the same month in 2015 (average: 33.9718), the exchange rate shifted by -6.3783 (-18.78%).

2016 Avg (January) 27.5935

2015 Avg (January) 33.9718

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	27.9417	27.1990	27.5935
February	27.3972	26.9833	27.1500
March	27.2565	26.9205	27.0833
April	27.2605	26.7292	27.0250
May	27.1481	26.1281	26.7445
June	26.4661	25.3994	25.9042
July	25.8524	25.1224	25.5670
August	25.6815	25.2760	25.4792
September	25.7293	25.4307	25.5358
October	25.6608	25.2204	25.4344
November	25.3518	23.9623	24.9300
December	25.0729	23.8086	24.5635