YEARLY HIGH
24.5338 SOS
YEARLY LOW
23.3108 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
24.1061 SOS

2021 HNL to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the HNL to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 3, valuing the pair at 24.5338. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 23.3108.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2230 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 23.9652 to the December average rate of 23.9505, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.06% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 24.5338 was up 1.75% compared to the 2020 peak of 24.1123, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 122,669 SOS
2020 Average 117,446 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 116,554 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,115.05 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

24.3957
23.9101
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 24.0697, compared to 24.1424 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0728 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 24.0697
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 24.1424

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 0.7732 SOS (High: 24.0840 / Low: 23.3108). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1882 SOS (High: 24.0855 / Low: 23.8973).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.7732
February Spread (Stable) ±0.1882

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.2592 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2592

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2021: 24.3552) against the same month in 2020 (average: 23.4397), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9156 (+3.91%).

2021 Avg (August) 24.3552
2020 Avg (August) 23.4397

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 24.0840 23.3108 23.9652
February 24.0855 23.8973 23.9722
March 24.1822 23.8737 24.0340
April 24.2851 23.9508 24.1084
May 24.2789 23.7971 24.1395
June 24.3745 24.0939 24.1987
July 24.4546 24.0726 24.3085
August 24.5338 24.2299 24.3552
September 24.2293 23.9903 24.0960
October 24.2399 23.9978 24.0792
November 24.2349 23.9899 24.0652
December 24.2236 23.6648 23.9505