YEARLY HIGH
25.4157 SOS
YEARLY LOW
23.6999 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
24.2116 SOS

2018 HNL to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 25.4157. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 9, dropping to 23.6999.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7158 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 24.5374 to the December average rate of 23.9075, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 25.4157 was up 0.20% compared to the 2017 peak of 25.3658, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 127,078 SOS
2017 Average 123,369 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 118,499 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,579.12 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

24.6857
23.7903
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 24.4109, compared to 24.0123 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3985 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 24.4109
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 24.0123

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 1.7158 SOS (High: 25.4157 / Low: 23.6999). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1100 SOS (High: 24.1325 / Low: 24.0225).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.7158
August Spread (Stable) ±0.1100

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1946 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1946

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 23.9075) against the same month in 2017 (average: 24.5379), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6304 (-2.57%).

2018 Avg (December) 23.9075
2017 Avg (December) 24.5379

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 24.8062 24.2672 24.5374
February 24.7880 24.4573 24.6111
March 24.7775 24.3975 24.5871
April 24.5981 24.1755 24.4033
May 24.5463 23.9741 24.2533
June 24.2849 23.7835 24.0730
July 24.2048 23.9108 24.1129
August 24.1325 24.0225 24.0846
September 24.0989 23.9834 24.0444
October 24.2043 23.9740 24.0596
November 23.9691 23.7252 23.8650
December 25.4157 23.6999 23.9075