2013 HNL to VUV Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4.9416 VUV

YEARLY LOW

4.4838 VUV

YEARLY AVERAGE

4.6736 VUV

2013 HNL to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the HNL to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 23, valuing the pair at 4.9416. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 7, dropping to 4.4838.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4577 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5484 to the December average rate of 4.7065, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.47% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 4.9416 was down 2.98% compared to the 2012 peak of 5.0933, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,708 VUV

2012 Average 23,645 VUV

Yearly Trough Low 22,419 VUV

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,288.54 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

4.8162

4.4954

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.6454, compared to 4.7018 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0565 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.6454

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.7018

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was May, with a trading range of 0.3154 VUV (High: 4.9416 / Low: 4.6262). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0733 VUV (High: 4.6857 / Low: 4.6124).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.3154

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0733

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1138 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1138

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2013: 4.7895) against the same month in 2012 (average: 4.8760), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0865 (-1.77%).

2013 Avg (May) 4.7895

2012 Avg (May) 4.8760

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4.6103	4.4949	4.5484
February	4.5802	4.4838	4.5221
March	4.6918	4.5733	4.6303
April	4.7633	4.6501	4.7061
May	4.9416	4.6262	4.7895
June	4.7527	4.5965	4.6757
July	4.7894	4.6834	4.7484
August	4.8062	4.7121	4.7591
September	4.8033	4.6557	4.7233
October	4.6789	4.5934	4.6298
November	4.6857	4.6124	4.6439
December	4.7834	4.6111	4.7065