YEARLY HIGH
4.8381 VUV
YEARLY LOW
4.3552 VUV
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5127 VUV

2018 HNL to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 4.8381. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 29, dropping to 4.3552.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4829 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4540 to the December average rate of 4.5691, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.8381 was down 0.49% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.8618, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,190 VUV
2017 Average 22,781 VUV
Yearly Trough Low 21,776 VUV
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,414.55 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.6271
4.4307
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.4755, compared to 4.5499 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0745 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.4755
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5499

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.3475 VUV (High: 4.8381 / Low: 4.4906). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0201 VUV (High: 4.5202 / Low: 4.5002).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.3475
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0201

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0472 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0472

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 4.5691) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.5248), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0443 (+0.98%).

2018 Avg (December) 4.5691
2017 Avg (December) 4.5248

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5123 4.3552 4.4540
February 4.5210 4.3603 4.4471
March 4.5054 4.4321 4.4623
April 4.5087 4.4317 4.4726
May 4.5898 4.4836 4.5298
June 4.5664 4.4426 4.4869
July 4.5590 4.4943 4.5262
August 4.5430 4.5114 4.5190
September 4.5202 4.5002 4.5110
October 4.6365 4.5044 4.6107
November 4.5984 4.5182 4.5635
December 4.8381 4.4906 4.5691