YEARLY HIGH
5.0803 VUV
YEARLY LOW
4.5483 VUV
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7829 VUV

2016 HNL to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HNL to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 5.0803. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 9, dropping to 4.5483.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5320 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0352 to the December average rate of 4.6379, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.0803 was down 2.30% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.1999, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,402 VUV
2015 Average 24,919 VUV
Yearly Trough Low 22,742 VUV
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,660.08 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.0750
4.5982
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9026, compared to 4.6632 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2394 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9026
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.6632

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 0.2312 VUV (High: 4.9817 / Low: 4.7505). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0730 VUV (High: 4.6871 / Low: 4.6141).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2312
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0730

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1408 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1408

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 5.0352) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.9215), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1137 (+2.31%).

2016 Avg (January) 5.0352
2015 Avg (January) 4.9215

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.0803 4.9924 5.0352
February 5.0528 4.9667 5.0040
March 4.9845 4.7710 4.8712
April 4.8444 4.7379 4.7828
May 4.9817 4.7505 4.8616
June 4.9438 4.7539 4.8608
July 4.7660 4.6567 4.7200
August 4.7746 4.6059 4.6552
September 4.6871 4.6141 4.6502
October 4.7183 4.6173 4.6641
November 4.7423 4.5483 4.6517
December 4.7198 4.5849 4.6379