YEARLY HIGH
5.0301 VUV
YEARLY LOW
4.5018 VUV
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.6878 VUV

2020 HNL to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the HNL to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 7, valuing the pair at 5.0301. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 4.5018.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5283 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.6621 to the December average rate of 4.5485, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 5.0301 was down 35.53% compared to the 2019 peak of 7.8022, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,150 VUV
2019 Average 23,154 VUV
Yearly Trough Low 22,509 VUV
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,641.44 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

4.9511
4.5119
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.7788, compared to 4.5968 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1820 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.7788
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5968

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was April, with a trading range of 0.1941 VUV (High: 5.0301 / Low: 4.8360). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0661 VUV (High: 4.6187 / Low: 4.5526).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1941
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0661

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1483 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1483

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2020: 4.9145) against the same month in 2019 (average: 4.5322), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3824 (+8.44%).

2020 Avg (April) 4.9145
2019 Avg (April) 4.5322

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.6965 4.5782 4.6621
February 4.7974 4.6702 4.7419
March 4.9251 4.7339 4.8176
April 5.0301 4.8360 4.9145
May 4.8926 4.7770 4.8425
June 4.7962 4.6197 4.6942
July 4.6672 4.5706 4.6359
August 4.6187 4.5526 4.5899
September 4.6243 4.5376 4.5743
October 4.6653 4.5763 4.6217
November 4.6549 4.5763 4.6103
December 4.6044 4.5018 4.5485