YEARLY HIGH
5.1999 VUV
YEARLY LOW
4.7543 VUV
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.9841 VUV

2015 HNL to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the HNL to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 5, valuing the pair at 5.1999. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 18, dropping to 4.7543.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4455 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.9215 to the December average rate of 5.1077, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.78% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 5.1999 was up 3.77% compared to the 2014 peak of 5.0112, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,999 VUV
2014 Average 23,630 VUV
Yearly Trough Low 23,772 VUV
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,227.66 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

5.1482
4.7581
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9079, compared to 5.0602 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1523 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9079
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.0602

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was September, with a trading range of 0.2055 VUV (High: 5.1835 / Low: 4.9780). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0549 VUV (High: 5.0201 / Low: 4.9652).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.2055
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0549

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1080 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1080

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 5.1018) against the same month in 2014 (average: 4.6499), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4519 (+9.72%).

2015 Avg (October) 5.1018
2014 Avg (October) 4.6499

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.0353 4.8648 4.9215
February 5.0715 4.9723 5.0114
March 5.0659 4.9011 4.9732
April 4.9583 4.8174 4.8986
May 4.8606 4.7543 4.7906
June 4.8898 4.7808 4.8521
July 4.9892 4.8654 4.9490
August 5.0201 4.9652 4.9880
September 5.1835 4.9780 5.0989
October 5.1999 5.0424 5.1018
November 5.1468 5.0469 5.1157
December 5.1557 5.0037 5.1077