YEARLY HIGH
476.3581 UGX
YEARLY LOW
433.8809 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
451.5910 UGX

2014 HRK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the HRK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 476.3581. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 4, dropping to 433.8809.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 42.4772 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 446.3182 to the December average rate of 444.0551, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 476.3581 was down 0.76% compared to the 2013 peak of 479.9974, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HRK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,381,790 UGX
2013 Average 2,266,340 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,169,404 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 212,386.12 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

470.8235
437.6554
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HRK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 453.6059, compared to 449.5760 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.0299 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 453.6059
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 449.5760

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 18.5697 UGX (High: 455.6676 / Low: 437.0979). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.6925 UGX (High: 460.7167 / Low: 455.0242).

January Spread (Volatile) ±18.5697
April Spread (Stable) ±5.6925

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 12.7570 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -12.7570

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 468.0595) against the same month in 2013 (average: 451.2310), the exchange rate shifted by +16.8285 (+3.73%).

2014 Avg (July) 468.0595
2013 Avg (July) 451.2310

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 455.6676 437.0979 446.3182
February 455.1389 436.8143 440.4194
March 463.5326 451.5396 457.3576
April 460.7167 455.0242 457.5904
May 462.3227 453.6108 457.4547
June 469.5268 456.8167 462.4954
July 476.3581 459.9942 468.0595
August 459.6778 449.0448 455.4851
September 450.5999 438.3599 442.7281
October 449.3431 433.8809 442.7606
November 450.1671 436.0083 444.3677
December 453.3528 438.3675 444.0551