2016 HRK to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

518.4657 UGX

YEARLY LOW

477.6862 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

502.1436 UGX

2016 HRK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HRK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 5, valuing the pair at 518.4657. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 2, dropping to 477.6862.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 40.7795 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 488.9368 to the December average rate of 503.5218, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.98% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 518.4657 was down 6.47% compared to the 2015 peak of 554.3570, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HRK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,592,329 UGX

2015 Average 2,361,705 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,388,431 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 203,897.26 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

513.5528

486.6990

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HRK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 499.2610, compared to 505.0261 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 5.7651 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 499.2610

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 505.0261

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 31.7756 UGX (High: 509.4618 / Low: 477.6862). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.4846 UGX (High: 508.5831 / Low: 502.0985).

March Spread (Volatile) ±31.7756

September Spread (Stable) ±6.4846

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 7.7932 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -7.7932

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 511.3150) against the same month in 2015 (average: 483.5706), the exchange rate shifted by +27.7444 (+5.74%).

2016 Avg (November) 511.3150

2015 Avg (November) 483.5706

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	495.5471	478.4764	488.9368
February	511.5601	481.2696	498.5435
March	509.4618	477.6862	495.4809
April	511.2785	496.1667	505.5008
May	508.6364	499.2336	503.8893
June	510.1301	498.2705	503.2149
July	504.3068	495.6587	499.6362
August	510.0078	501.1898	505.1712
September	508.5831	502.0985	505.7914
October	509.1425	499.5410	504.7209
November	518.4657	507.2315	511.3150
December	517.2438	491.7511	503.5218