YEARLY HIGH
617.2030 UGX
YEARLY LOW
565.0726 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
593.2385 UGX

2018 HRK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HRK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 1, valuing the pair at 617.2030. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 565.0726.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 52.1303 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 597.3173 to the December average rate of 570.6252, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 617.2030 was up 5.12% compared to the 2017 peak of 587.1380, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HRK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,086,015 UGX
2017 Average 2,738,625 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,825,363 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 260,651.70 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

615.5081
566.5450
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HRK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 603.6883, compared to 582.7887 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 20.8995 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 603.6883
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 582.7887

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 33.7148 UGX (High: 617.2030 / Low: 583.4881). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 10.9067 UGX (High: 616.6994 / Low: 605.7927).

July Spread (Volatile) ±33.7148
April Spread (Stable) ±10.9067

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 15.3666 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -15.3666

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 593.7212) against the same month in 2017 (average: 561.4628), the exchange rate shifted by +32.2584 (+5.75%).

2018 Avg (July) 593.7212
2017 Avg (July) 561.4628

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 608.9163 584.2647 597.3173
February 610.9786 596.4267 604.2798
March 613.2370 600.4103 606.2267
April 616.6994 605.7927 611.4278
May 607.0392 588.2218 596.0612
June 616.1496 595.7444 606.8168
July 617.2030 583.4881 593.7212
August 593.5328 569.8884 579.5896
September 606.5102 587.1689 596.1814
October 595.7569 573.1202 584.8178
November 577.8936 566.3617 571.7973
December 576.2292 565.0726 570.6252