YEARLY HIGH
580.4955 UGX
YEARLY LOW
541.3086 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
559.1302 UGX

2019 HRK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the HRK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 580.4955. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 26, dropping to 541.3086.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 39.1869 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 569.4010 to the December average rate of 548.6355, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 580.4955 was down 5.95% compared to the 2018 peak of 617.2030, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HRK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,902,478 UGX
2018 Average 2,965,557 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,706,543 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 195,934.44 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

571.6600
544.5523
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HRK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 566.4026, compared to 551.8579 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 14.5447 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 566.4026
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 551.8579

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 18.8206 UGX (High: 580.4955 / Low: 561.6750). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.5434 UGX (High: 552.5379 / Low: 544.9945).

January Spread (Volatile) ±18.8206
December Spread (Stable) ±7.5434

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 8.7655 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -8.7655

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 569.4010) against the same month in 2018 (average: 597.3173), the exchange rate shifted by -27.9162 (-4.67%).

2019 Avg (January) 569.4010
2018 Avg (January) 597.3173

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 580.4955 561.6750 569.4010
February 567.8440 558.0649 562.3008
March 571.1374 559.0403 564.0064
April 570.5479 560.1954 565.1342
May 573.8929 563.9466 568.2279
June 574.9491 564.3706 569.3452
July 568.2668 554.8691 560.9616
August 561.5152 547.8366 555.5767
September 550.1897 541.3086 546.8113
October 555.8909 541.5203 550.0184
November 555.8505 545.9838 549.1437
December 552.5379 544.9945 548.6355