YEARLY HIGH
583.5127 UGX
YEARLY LOW
535.7678 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
568.5336 UGX

2026 HRK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the HRK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 30, valuing the pair at 583.5127. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 535.7678.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 47.7449 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 555.7934 to the December average rate of 572.9069, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.08% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 583.5127 was up 3.20% compared to the 2025 peak of 565.4388, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HRK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,917,563 UGX
2025 Average 2,700,219 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,678,839 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 238,724.52 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

585.5069
553.0921
JanuMarcMayJuly

HRK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 569.0402, compared to 567.0138 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.0264 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 569.0402
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 567.0138

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 33.1466 UGX (High: 568.9144 / Low: 535.7678). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2828 UGX (High: 573.0349 / Low: 572.7521).

January Spread (Volatile) ±33.1466
August Spread (Stable) ±0.2828

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 15.2775 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -15.2775

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 582.8057) against the same month in 2025 (average: 547.2526), the exchange rate shifted by +35.5531 (+6.50%).

2026 Avg (May) 582.8057
2025 Avg (May) 547.2526

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 568.9144 535.7678 555.7934
February 566.7566 553.5954 559.5006
March 580.9979 561.4857 571.9157
April 582.7394 571.1292 576.6975
May 583.5127 581.4069 582.8057
June 582.5903 553.6045 567.5282
July 569.9377 554.0436 561.1206
August 573.0349 572.7521 572.9069