YEARLY HIGH
1.0190 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.8651 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9293 RUB

2018 HTG to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HTG to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 1.0190. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 0.8651.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1539 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8785 to the December average rate of 0.8887, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.17% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.0190 was up 2.77% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.9915, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,095 RUB
2017 Average 4,494 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 4,326 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 769.29 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.9968
0.8677
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9179, compared to 0.9407 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0228 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9179
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9407

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.0899 RUB (High: 0.9752 / Low: 0.8854). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0195 RUB (High: 0.8974 / Low: 0.8780).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0899
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0195

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0424 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0424

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.9744) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.9123), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0621 (+6.81%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.9744
2017 Avg (September) 0.9123

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9036 0.8651 0.8785
February 0.9112 0.8652 0.8866
March 0.8974 0.8780 0.8864
April 0.9752 0.8854 0.9380
May 0.9886 0.9456 0.9644
June 0.9703 0.9428 0.9537
July 0.9707 0.9240 0.9465
August 1.0164 0.9463 0.9861
September 1.0190 0.9391 0.9744
October 0.9585 0.9118 0.9320
November 0.9399 0.8953 0.9163
December 0.9095 0.8710 0.8887