YEARLY HIGH
4.3572 CDF
YEARLY LOW
3.6315 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0928 CDF

2012 HUF to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the HUF to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 18, valuing the pair at 4.3572. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 3.6315.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7257 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8337 to the December average rate of 4.2419, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.65% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 4.3572 was down 15.16% compared to the 2011 peak of 5.1360, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,357,230 CDF
2011 Average 4,562,581 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 3,631,526 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 725,704.33 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

4.3028
3.7911
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0240, compared to 4.1615 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1375 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0240
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1615

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.4921 CDF (High: 4.1236 / Low: 3.6315). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1392 CDF (High: 4.2058 / Low: 4.0666).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4921
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1392

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0929 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0929

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2012: 4.2601) against the same month in 2011 (average: 4.2370), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0232 (+0.55%).

2012 Avg (October) 4.2601
2011 Avg (October) 4.2370

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1236 3.6315 3.8337
February 4.2263 4.0585 4.1633
March 4.2058 4.0666 4.1449
April 4.2221 4.0051 4.0929
May 4.2435 3.7858 4.0000
June 4.0852 3.6970 3.9093
July 4.0597 3.8662 3.9606
August 4.1881 4.0314 4.1121
September 4.3095 4.0841 4.1881
October 4.3572 4.1650 4.2601
November 4.3225 4.1244 4.2065
December 4.3141 4.1314 4.2419