YEARLY HIGH
6.5018 CDF
YEARLY LOW
5.6308 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.0052 CDF

2018 HUF to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HUF to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 6.5018. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 1, dropping to 5.6308.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8709 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.3206 to the December average rate of 5.7322, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.5018 was up 1.37% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.4137, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,501,754 CDF
2017 Average 5,351,247 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 5,630,847 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 870,906.86 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.4524
5.6597
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.2187, compared to 5.7916 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4270 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.2187
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.7916

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.4024 CDF (High: 6.4481 / Low: 6.0457). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1046 CDF (High: 6.4444 / Low: 6.3398).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4024
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1046

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.3321 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3321

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 6.3801) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.3896), the exchange rate shifted by +1.9905 (+45.35%).

2018 Avg (February) 6.3801
2017 Avg (February) 4.3896

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.4481 6.0457 6.3206
February 6.5018 6.2732 6.3801
March 6.4444 6.3398 6.3863
April 6.4468 6.2195 6.3578
May 6.1677 5.8061 6.0256
June 5.9793 5.6820 5.8416
July 5.9786 5.6563 5.8389
August 5.9262 5.6842 5.8131
September 5.9731 5.7883 5.8662
October 5.8762 5.6648 5.7736
November 5.8359 5.6309 5.7258
December 5.8478 5.6308 5.7322