YEARLY HIGH
5.9744 CDF
YEARLY LOW
5.4021 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.6910 CDF

2019 HUF to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the HUF to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 20, valuing the pair at 5.9744. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 5.4021.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5723 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.8408 to the December average rate of 5.6360, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 5.9744 was down 8.11% compared to the 2018 peak of 6.5018, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,974,353 CDF
2018 Average 6,002,700 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 5,402,084 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 572,268.91 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

5.8816
5.4766
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.7870, compared to 5.5951 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1919 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.7870
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.5951

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was March, with a trading range of 0.2632 CDF (High: 5.9744 / Low: 5.7112). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0685 CDF (High: 5.7017 / Low: 5.6332).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2632
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0685

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1275 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1275

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2019: 5.8468) against the same month in 2018 (average: 6.3863), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5396 (-8.45%).

2019 Avg (March) 5.8468
2018 Avg (March) 6.3863

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.9616 5.7387 5.8408
February 5.9159 5.7744 5.8478
March 5.9744 5.7112 5.8468
April 5.7959 5.6544 5.7300
May 5.7017 5.6332 5.6635
June 5.8771 5.6641 5.7928
July 5.7959 5.6355 5.7201
August 5.7493 5.5054 5.6379
September 5.5786 5.4141 5.5104
October 5.6427 5.4021 5.5524
November 5.6336 5.4515 5.5137
December 5.7094 5.4808 5.6360