YEARLY HIGH
4.0402 CDF
YEARLY LOW
3.1503 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.4377 CDF

2016 HUF to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HUF to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 4.0402. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 17, dropping to 3.1503.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8899 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.2040 to the December average rate of 3.9340, the exchange rate registered a net change of 22.78% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.0402 was up 14.76% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.5207, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,040,199 CDF
2015 Average 3,318,131 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 3,150,258 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 889,941.37 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.0070
3.1309
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.3201, compared to 3.5553 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2351 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.3201
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.5553

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.7645 CDF (High: 3.9148 / Low: 3.1503). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0504 CDF (High: 3.4065 / Low: 3.3561).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.7645
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0504

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0546 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0546

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 3.9340) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.2097), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7242 (+22.56%).

2016 Avg (December) 3.9340
2015 Avg (December) 3.2097

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.2364 3.1721 3.2040
February 3.3726 3.2488 3.3238
March 3.3755 3.2387 3.3181
April 3.4065 3.3561 3.3765
May 3.4364 3.2839 3.3329
June 3.4860 3.2850 3.3656
July 3.5068 3.3011 3.3508
August 3.5831 3.4658 3.5294
September 3.5931 3.5146 3.5464
October 3.5906 3.3953 3.4918
November 3.9148 3.1503 3.4793
December 4.0402 3.8565 3.9340