YEARLY HIGH
4.2704 CDF
YEARLY LOW
3.5357 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9771 CDF

2014 HUF to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the HUF to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 4.2704. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 3.5357.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7348 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1750 to the December average rate of 3.6627, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4.2704 was down 2.40% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.3753, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,270,430 CDF
2013 Average 4,128,051 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 3,535,676 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 734,754.35 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4.2263
3.6115
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1235, compared to 3.8306 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2929 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1235
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.8306

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.2614 CDF (High: 4.2704 / Low: 4.0090). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0744 CDF (High: 4.1304 / Low: 4.0559).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2614
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0744

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1170 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1170

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 4.1750) against the same month in 2013 (average: 4.1717), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0033 (+0.08%).

2014 Avg (January) 4.1750
2013 Avg (January) 4.1717

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.2704 4.0090 4.1750
February 4.1057 3.9796 4.0641
March 4.1304 4.0559 4.0940
April 4.1876 4.1127 4.1470
May 4.2161 4.1133 4.1587
June 4.1547 4.0532 4.1022
July 4.0595 3.9449 4.0340
August 3.9641 3.8527 3.9170
September 3.8652 3.7570 3.8010
October 3.8615 3.7383 3.8082
November 3.8116 3.7169 3.7609
December 3.7685 3.5357 3.6627