2011 HUF to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9983 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.7326 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8898 DJF

2011 HUF to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the HUF to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 0.9983. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.7326.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2657 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8636 to the December average rate of 0.7704, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.9983 was up 2.90% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.9701, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 998,260 DJF

2010 Average 857,486 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 732,552 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 265,708.26 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.9889

0.7505

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9265, compared to 0.8531 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0735 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9265

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8531

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.1121 DJF (High: 0.9287 / Low: 0.8166). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0332 DJF (High: 0.9115 / Low: 0.8783).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1121

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0332

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0739 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0739

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2011: 0.9546) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.8098), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1448 (+17.88%).

2011 Avg (May) 0.9546

2010 Avg (May) 0.8098

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8965	0.8190	0.8636
February	0.9115	0.8783	0.8948
March	0.9495	0.8988	0.9189
April	0.9978	0.9463	0.9691
May	0.9983	0.9222	0.9546
June	0.9819	0.9323	0.9582
July	0.9760	0.9157	0.9494
August	0.9540	0.9121	0.9353
September	0.9287	0.8166	0.8614
October	0.8411	0.7825	0.8219
November	0.8085	0.7465	0.7799
December	0.7956	0.7326	0.7704