2016 HUF to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6568 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.5956 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6317 DJF

2016 HUF to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HUF to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 0.6568. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 0.5956.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0612 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6142 to the December average rate of 0.6027, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6568 was down 3.35% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.6795, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 656,761 DJF

2015 Average 636,327 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 595,576 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 61,184.90 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6508

0.5984

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6346, compared to 0.6289 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0057 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6346

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6289

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0427 DJF (High: 0.6473 / Low: 0.6046). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0096 DJF (High: 0.6521 / Low: 0.6426).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0427

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0096

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0195 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0195

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 0.6380) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6466), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0086 (-1.33%).

2016 Avg (May) 0.6380

2015 Avg (May) 0.6466

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6194	0.6085	0.6142
February	0.6455	0.6215	0.6361
March	0.6462	0.6219	0.6360
April	0.6521	0.6426	0.6465
May	0.6568	0.6275	0.6380
June	0.6522	0.6167	0.6368
July	0.6361	0.6197	0.6243
August	0.6477	0.6323	0.6409
September	0.6526	0.6375	0.6445
October	0.6522	0.6249	0.6386
November	0.6473	0.6046	0.6222
December	0.6112	0.5956	0.6027