YEARLY HIGH
0.8415 DJF
YEARLY LOW
0.7158 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7931 DJF

2012 HUF to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the HUF to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 18, valuing the pair at 0.8415. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 0.7158.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1258 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7498 to the December average rate of 0.8147, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.65% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.8415 was down 15.70% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.9983, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 841,525 DJF
2011 Average 889,731 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 715,755 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 125,770.28 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.8262
0.7429
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7855, compared to 0.8007 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0152 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7855
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8007

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.0958 DJF (High: 0.8304 / Low: 0.7346). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0243 DJF (High: 0.8263 / Low: 0.8020).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0958
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0243

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0186 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0186

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2012: 0.8192) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.8219), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0027 (-0.33%).

2012 Avg (October) 0.8192
2011 Avg (October) 0.8219

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7998 0.7158 0.7498
February 0.8294 0.7910 0.8113
March 0.8254 0.7915 0.8082
April 0.8242 0.7810 0.7993
May 0.8304 0.7346 0.7816
June 0.7941 0.7241 0.7630
July 0.7839 0.7434 0.7644
August 0.8081 0.7793 0.7918
September 0.8317 0.7866 0.8067
October 0.8415 0.8014 0.8192
November 0.8271 0.7918 0.8076
December 0.8263 0.8020 0.8147