YEARLY HIGH
0.8248 DJF
YEARLY LOW
0.6831 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7686 DJF

2014 HUF to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the HUF to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.8248. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 0.6831.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1417 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8042 to the December average rate of 0.7054, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.8248 was down 1.61% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.8382, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 824,754 DJF
2013 Average 794,387 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 683,079 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 141,675.33 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.8164
0.6954
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7970, compared to 0.7402 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0568 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7970
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7402

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.0532 DJF (High: 0.8248 / Low: 0.7716). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0168 DJF (High: 0.7994 / Low: 0.7826).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0532
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0168

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0239 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0239

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 0.8042) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.8032), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0009 (+0.11%).

2014 Avg (January) 0.8042
2013 Avg (January) 0.8032

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8248 0.7716 0.8042
February 0.7919 0.7662 0.7846
March 0.7994 0.7826 0.7900
April 0.8124 0.7946 0.8027
May 0.8173 0.7992 0.8063
June 0.8061 0.7850 0.7945
July 0.7881 0.7635 0.7813
August 0.7684 0.7440 0.7588
September 0.7493 0.7224 0.7349
October 0.7449 0.7215 0.7355
November 0.7333 0.7154 0.7256
December 0.7256 0.6831 0.7054