2018 HUF to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.7222 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.6198 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6596 DJF

2018 HUF to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HUF to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 0.7222. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 0.6198.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1024 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7054 to the December average rate of 0.6277, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.7222 was up 2.69% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.7033, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 722,223 DJF

2017 Average 653,542 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 619,822 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 102,401.36 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.7132

0.6200

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6852, compared to 0.6339 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0513 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6852

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6339

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0358 DJF (High: 0.6759 / Low: 0.6401). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0121 DJF (High: 0.7046 / Low: 0.6925).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0358

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0121

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0335 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0335

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 0.7034) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.6170), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0864 (+14.00%).

2018 Avg (February) 0.7034

2017 Avg (February) 0.6170

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.7175	0.6900	0.7054
February	0.7222	0.6875	0.7034
March	0.7046	0.6925	0.6992
April	0.7065	0.6816	0.6964
May	0.6759	0.6401	0.6629
June	0.6595	0.6267	0.6440
July	0.6492	0.6280	0.6413
August	0.6469	0.6222	0.6363
September	0.6482	0.6295	0.6388
October	0.6402	0.6203	0.6313
November	0.6347	0.6198	0.6280
December	0.6359	0.6218	0.6277